Disaster looms as 2026 first-season rains forecast above normal

The Office of the Prime Minister (Uganda) has issued a warning about potential disaster risks following the release of the March–April–May (MAM) 2026 Seasonal Rainfall Outlook.

The forecast, released by the Ministry of Water and Environment (Uganda), indicates that most parts of Uganda are expected to receive normal to above-normal rainfall during the country’s first major rainy season of the year.

While the forecast suggests favourable conditions for agriculture, authorities said the increased rainfall also raises the likelihood of flooding, landslides, and other climate-related hazards in vulnerable areas.

Disaster Risk Preparedness

The government, through the Office of the Prime Minister (Uganda), said it is implementing mitigation measures to reduce the potential impact of extreme weather events.

Disaster management teams are being mobilised to monitor high-risk regions, particularly areas prone to flooding and landslides.

Authorities urged local governments to strengthen early warning systems, improve drainage infrastructure and support community preparedness programmes.

Public Advisory on Rainwater Harvesting

Officials encouraged Ugandans to take advantage of the anticipated rainfall by adopting water conservation practices.

The public was urged to invest in water harvesting technologies and increase agricultural production during the rainy season to improve food security during dry periods.

Government climate and agricultural experts say improved rainwater storage can help households cope with seasonal water shortages and support irrigation farming.

Climate and Food Security Context

Uganda remains highly dependent on rain-fed agriculture, making seasonal rainfall forecasts critical for planning.

Meteorologists say above-normal rainfall can boost crop yields but may also increase the risk of crop damage if water management measures are not observed.

The government continues to promote climate-resilient agriculture as part of long-term adaptation strategies.

Ongoing Monitoring

The Ministry of Water and Environment said it will continue monitoring weather patterns and issuing updates to help communities respond effectively to climate variations.

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